Election posters in Siltamäki, Helsinki, on 10 January, 2018.
Election posters in Siltamäki, Helsinki, on 10 January, 2018.


President Sauli Niinistö may fail to win over half of the votes cast in the presidential elections held on Sunday, writes Iltalehti.

An election forecast published by the tabloid daily indicates that there is a 55 per cent likelihood that the elections will not be decided in the first round of voting. A second round of voting will be held if none of the eight candidates contending for the presidency win at least 50.1 per cent of the vote.

The forecast was compiled by Accuscore.

Niinistö has in recent months polled consistently above 50 per cent although his popularity has taken a considerable hit since late last year. Political analysts, however, have reminded that the development was expected as voters typically revert to their party loyalties as elections edge closer.

Accuscore currently forecasts that the incumbent will win 49.2 per cent of the vote.

The analytics company also predicts that the candidates most likely to challenge him in the second round of voting are Pekka Haavisto (Greens) and Paavo Väyrynen (ind.), the former being projected to win 13.6 and the latter 13.2 per cent of the vote.

Accuscore does not conduct its own opinion polls but utilises data from previous polls and elections to simulate the elections.

Aleksi Teivainen – HT
Photo: Martti Kainulainen – Lehtikuva
Source: Uusi Suomi