This year's presidential elections in the United States could prove more momentous than ever for Finland, gauges Mika Aaltola, a programme director at the Finnish Institute of International Affairs.
“Finland's place on the map depends greatly on the willingness of the United States to act as a guarantor of security in Europe. A lot is at stake,” he tweeted on Saturday.
Russia, he estimated, is perceived as an ally in the geopolitical strategy of Donald Trump, the presidential candidate of the Republican Party, who would likely be willing to make concessions to the country in its adjoining territories in the event that he takes the White House. “The concessions would especially concern Finland, Ukraine, Belarus and – to some extent – Sweden,” says Aaltola.
Russia has its say especially on the position of non-members of Nato, according to Aaltola.
The security policy landscape in Finland and the Nordics was also the topic of a report published last week by the US News & World Report, according to which Finland, Sweden and Norway “are in the cold” in the face of increasing aggression by Moscow.
Deborah James, the US Secretary of the Air Force, said in an interview with the web-based news outlet that an accident or incident with the potential to spiral out of control is most likely to occur in the Baltic Sea Region.
Rear Admiral Jonas Haggren, the director of policy and planning at the Swedish Armed Forces, estimated that while the risk of an armed attack by Russia is very low, that of an incident remains real due to the continuing military activity of Russia. “Russia has clearly shown [that] they are prepared to move borders in Europe, that they are prepared to use violence to achieve political aims,” he said to the US News & World Report.
Aleksi Teivainen – HT
Photo: Jay Laprete and Saul Loeb – AFP / Lehtikuva
Source: Uusi Suomi